Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000197 0.000218 0.000241 0.000267 0.000296 0.000328 0.000366
2025-09-28 0.000152 0.000181 0.000215 0.000258 0.000311 0.000374 0.000455
2025-10-05 0.000131 0.000165 0.000207 0.000264 0.000338 0.000433 0.000565
2025-10-12 0.000116 0.000153 0.000201 0.000268 0.000362 0.000488 0.000677
2025-10-19 0.000103 0.000141 0.000191 0.000266 0.000375 0.000530 0.000773
2025-10-26 0.000094 0.000133 0.000186 0.000269 0.000394 0.000581 0.000888
2025-11-02 0.000085 0.000123 0.000178 0.000265 0.000403 0.000616 0.000985
2025-11-09 0.000078 0.000116 0.000172 0.000264 0.000414 0.000657 0.001094
2025-11-16 0.000072 0.000108 0.000165 0.000260 0.000420 0.000687 0.001189
2025-11-23 0.000065 0.000101 0.000157 0.000253 0.000420 0.000709 0.001271
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000098 0.000155 0.000257 0.000439 0.000765 0.001424
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000095 0.000154 0.000261 0.000459 0.000824 0.001590
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000089 0.000147 0.000256 0.000461 0.000854 0.001709
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000082 0.000139 0.000247 0.000457 0.000869 0.001802
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000080 0.000138 0.000252 0.000479 0.000943 0.002035
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000078 0.000137 0.000256 0.000501 0.001018 0.002283
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000075 0.000133 0.000254 0.000510 0.001065 0.002478
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000072 0.000132 0.000256 0.000528 0.001136 0.002743
2026-01-25 0.000038 0.000069 0.000128 0.000253 0.000534 0.001179 0.002943
2026-02-01 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000252 0.000544 0.001234 0.003189
2026-02-08 0.000034 0.000063 0.000120 0.000248 0.000546 0.001269 0.003386
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000060 0.000115 0.000241 0.000542 0.001291 0.003546
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000245 0.000564 0.001379 0.003929